The tables below show average values for different types of equipped farm in each region with values expressed in terms of £s per acre and £s per hectare. Dairy farm values exclude the value of milk quota. Where there is no entry the land type is not typical within the area.

Value of equipped land with vacant possession as at 1 October 2003
  Arable   Dairy   Mixed   Hill
£s per ac £s per ha £s per ac £s per ha £s per ac £s per ha £s per ac £s per ha
North East 3,050 7,534     2,625 6,484 350 865
North West 3,250 8,028 3,800 9,386 3,086 7,622 650 1,606
Yorkshire and Humberside 3,340 8,250 2,883 7,121 2,825 6,978 1,450 3,582
East Midlands 3,016 7,450 3,031 7,487 2,844 7,025    
West Midlands 3,836 9,475 3,630 8,966 3,450 8,522    
Eastern 3,142 7,761     2,713 6,701    
South East 3,693 9,122     3,761 9,290    
South West 3,725 9,201 3,814 9,421 3,467 8,563 1,250 3,088
Wales     3,125 7,719 2,471 6,103 750 1,853
England & Wales 3,442 8,502 3,556 8,783 3,137 7,748 972 2,401
Scotland 2,436 6,017 2,117 5,229 1,469 3,628 126 311
Northern Ireland 4,775 11,794 5,792 14,306 4,125 10,189 2,100 5,187
 
Value of equipped land subject to tenancy as at 1 October 2003
  Arable   Dairy   Mixed   Hill
£s per ac £s per ha £s per ac £s per ha £s per ac £s per ha £s per ac £s per ha
North East 1,175 2,902     975 2,408 100 247
North West 1,625 4,014 1,557 3,846 1,346 3,325 325 803
Yorkshire and Humberside 1,250 3,088 1,083 2,675 1,117 2,759 550 1,359
East Midlands 1,171 2,892 1,313 3,243 1,025 2,532    
West Midlands 1,221 3,016 1,070 2,643 1,082 2,673    
Eastern 1,250 3,088     1,013 2,502    
South East 1,550 3,829     1,558 3,848    
South West 1,416 3,498 1,450 3,582 1,300 3,211 863 2,132
Wales     1,463 3,614 1,154 2,850 300 741
England & Wales 1,323 3,268 1,406 3,473 1,237 3,055 464 1,146
Scotland 1,139 2,813 1,026 2,534 677 1,672 57 141
 
Value of unequipped land with vacant possession as at 1 October 2003. The table below shows average values for different types of bare land in each region with values expressed in terms of £s per acre and per hectare. Dairy farm values exclude the value of milk quota.Where there is no entry the land type is not typical within the area.
    Arable   Dairy   Mixed   Hill
£s per ac £s per ha £s per ac £s per ha £s per ac £s per ha £s per ac £s per ha
North East 2,200 5,434     1,813 4,478 260 642
North West 2,200 5,434 2,929 7,235 2,550 6,299 250 618
Yorkshire and Humberside 2,710 6,694 2,150 5,311 2,210 5,459 1,100 2,717
East Midlands 2,469 6,098 2,000 4,940 1,825 4,508    
West Midlands 2,857 7,057 2,417 5,970 2,343 5,787    
Eastern 2,392 5,908       2,138 5,281    
South East 2,357 5,822     2,194 5,419    
South West 2,238 5,528 2,267 5,599 2,089 5,160 1,000 2,470
Wales     2,620 6,471 2,229 5,506 550 1,359
England & Wales 2,441 6,029 2,371 5,856 2,186 5,399 633 1,564
Scotland 1,957 4,834 1,558 3,848 1,178 2,910 101 249

 

The average values as at 1 October 2003 detailed in the tables on the preceding page are presented in graphical form below for each of the four types of farm specified.

 

Vacant possession value trends - equipped land

The graphs below indicate the trend of average vacant possession values reported by District Valuers since Spring 1988 From 1st April 2002 the series are based on updated farm types, details of which are provided the Methodology section.

 

Vacant possession value trends - unequipped land

The graphs below indicate the trend of average vacant possession values reported by District Valuers from Spring 2002.

Residential Building Land by Government Office Region

The tables and graphs below show the average value by region of three categories of site as at 1 October 2003. These values should be regarded as illustrative rather than definitive. The Inner London average values exclude the central area i.e Westminster, Kensington and Chelsea and bulk land in Camden. Government Office Regions are defined in the Property Market Report Methodology .

Value of land for residential development as at October 2003

Region

Small Sites
£ s per ha

Bulk Land
£ s per ha

Sites for flats or maisonettes
£ s per ha

North East

1,300,000

1,230,000

1,400,000

North West

1,360,000

1,340,000

1,260,000

Merseyside

1,090,000

930,000

1,210,000

Yorkshire and the Humber

1,290,000

1,270,000

1,630,000

East Midlands

1,910,000

1,770,000

1,940,000

West Midlands

1,940,000

1,870,000

1,700,000

Eastern

2,610,000

3,180,000

3,400,000

South East

2,900,000

2,760,000

3,380,000

South West

2,250,000

2,030,000

2,470,000

Wales

1,310,000

1,280,000

1,380,000

England & Wales (excluding London)

1,950,000

1,910,000

2,180,000

Inner London

8,900,000

6,995,000

9,700,000

Outer London

5,710,000

5,290,000

6,570,000

Scotland

1,280,000

1,340,000

2,500,000

Northern Ireland

1,123,000

1,058,000

1,300,000

Typical values of land for residential development as at 1 October 2003

The values should be regarded as illustrative rather then definitive and represent typical levels of value for sites with no abnormal site constraints and a residential planning permission of a type generally found within the area.
REGION £s per hectare
Small Sites
£s per hectare
Bulk Land
£s per hectare
Sites for flats or
  sites for less than five houses sites in excess of two hectares maisonettes
               
NORTH EAST      
Newcastle (Heaton) 1,250,000 1,200,000 1,980,000
Alnwick 1,360,000 1,300,000 1,360,000
Sunderland 1,300,000 1,200,000 1,250,000
Middlesbrough 850,000 850,000 400,000
Durham 1,750,000 1,600,000 2,000,000
       
NORTH WEST      
Bolton 650,000 600,000 570,000
Manchester 2,000,000 2,200,000 2,000,000
Rochdale 735,000 735,000 750,000
Trafford 2,200,000 2,750,000 1,375,000
Stockport 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,600,000
Blackburn 860,000 700,000 480,000
Lancaster 1,350,000 1,350,000 **
Preston 1,600,000 1,500,000 1,500,000
Chester 950,000 1,250,000 1,075,000
Crewe/Macclesfield 1,000,000 895,000 1,045,000
Warrington 2,500,000 1,900,000 975,000
Wigan 735,000 735,000 **
Carlisle 457,000 375,000 **
Ambleside 1,438,000 1,300,000 1,438,000


REGION £s per hectare
Small Sites
£s per hectare
Bulk Land
£s per hectare
Sites for flats or
  sites for less than five houses sites in excess of two hectares maisonettes
MERSEYSIDE      
Liverpool 1,500,000 1,350,000 1,750,000
Knowsley 720,000 625,000 500,000
Sefton 650,000 550,000  
       
YORKSHIRE AND THE HUMBER      
Harrogate 1,900,000 1,800,000 3,000,000
York 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,750,000
Bradford 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000
Halifax 825,000 675,000 900,000
Leeds 2,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000
Doncaster 1,250,000 1,500,000 1,850,000
Grimsby 675,000 600,000 725,000
Beverley 1,209,000 1,100,000 1,200,000
Sheffield 1,250,000 1,250,000 1,250,000
               
EAST MIDLAND      
Lincoln 1,600,000 1,500,000 1,600,000
Mansfield 1,000,000 950,000 950,000
Nottingham 2,500,000 2,250,000 2,500,000
Derby 2,000,000 1,750,000 2,000,000
Leicester 1,750,000 1,850,000 2,200,000
Northampton 2,100,000 2,100,000 2,100,000
Loughborough 2,400,000 2,000,000 2,500,000
 
WEST MIDLAND      
Birmingham 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,100,000
Coventry 1,975,000 1,750,000 1,500,000
Sandwell 1,360,000 1,300,000 **
Wolverhampton 1,550,000 1,650,000 1,400,000
Lichfield 1,750,000 1,750,000 1,600,000
Shrewsbury 2,200,000 2,200,000 1,800,000
Stoke-on-Trent ( the market is composed of mainly brownfield sites) 950,000 900,000 950,000
Warwick 3,000,000 2,750,000 2,200,000
Worcester 2,500,000 2,100,000 2,000,000
Kidderminster 2,150,000 2,250,000 1,750,000
 
REGION £s per hectare
Small Sites
£s per hectare
Bulk Land
£s per hectare
Sites for flats or
  sites for less than five houses sites in excess of two hectares maisonettes
EAST OF ENGLAND      
Cambridge/South Cambridgeshire 2,700,000 4,113,000 4,675,000
Peterborough 1,155,000 1,420,000 1,522,000
Ipswich 2,300,000 2,200,000 2,100,000
Norwich 2,000,000 3,375,000 3,700,000
Luton 2,100,000 * 1,400,000
Stevenage 2,400,000 2,250,000 2,400,000
St Albans 5,500,000 6,250,000 10,000,000
Chelmsford 3,335,000 3,335,000 3,335,000
Colchester 2,000,000 2,500,000 1,500,000
               
LONDON INNER      
Tower Hamlets (E2-E3) 6,180,000 6,180,000 6,180,000
Camden 15,000,000 10,500,000 17,500,000
Hackney 6,800,000 6,800,000 6,800,000
Lewisham 5,500,000 5,000,000 7,000,000
Southwark (SE15) 11,000,000 10,000,000 11,000,000
 
LONDON OUTER      
Romford 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000
Redbridge 5,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000
Barnet 7,000,000 6,000,000 8,250,000
Ealing ( Hanwell ) 6,700,000 6,300,000 7,800,000
Ruislip 5,000,000 5,000,000 7,000,000
Greenwich - Bexley 6,000,000 5,500,000 7,500,000
Sutton 6,000,000 5,500,000 7,000,000
Wimbledon 6,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000
               
SOUTH EAST      
Brighton 3,350,000 3,100,000 5,500,000
Eastbourne 2,000,000 1,750,000 2,500,000
Folkestone 1,700,000 1,450,000 1,450,000
Chatham 1,125,000 1,125,000 1,125,000
Tunbridge Wells 2,300,000 2,300,000 2,500,000
Guildford 3,570,000 3,570,000 3,250,000
Reigate 3,350,000 3,125,000 3,300,000
Worthing 1,800,000 1,600,000 2,800,000
Aylesbury 3,200,000 3,100,000 4,200,000
Oxford 8,000,000 8,000,000 8,000,000
Wokingham 3,300,000 3,300,000 5,450,000
Basingstoke 3,250,000 3,000,000 3,250,000
Portsmouth 2,300,000 2,200,000 2,850,000
Southampton 2,950,000 2,725,000 3,200,000
Ryde, Isle of Wight 1,250,000 1,000,000 1,250,000
       
REGION £s per hectare
Small Sites
£s per hectare
Bulk Land
£s per hectare
Sites for flats or
  sites for less than five houses sites in excess of two hectares maisonettes
SOUTH WEST      
Bournemouth 2,650,000 2,375,000 4,250,000
Weymouth 1,700,000 1,575,000 2,100,000
Exeter 2,500,000 2,300,000 2,500,000
Barnstaple 1,400,000 1,300,000 1,400,000
Plymouth 1,800,000 1,700,000 1,900,000
Truro 1,750,000 1,500,000 2,000,000
Taunton 2,200,000 2,000,000 2,200,000
Bath 3,300,000 2,600,000 3,500,000
Bristol 3,000,000 2,500,000 3,500,000
Gloucester 2,200,000 2,200,000 1,400,000
Swindon 2,300,000 2,250,000 2,400,000
 
WALES      
Cardiff 2,600,000 3,450,000 4,000,000
Carmarthen 750,000 600,000 750,000
Merthyr Tydfil 750,000 550,000 400,000
Bridgend 1,050,000 1,000,000 650,000
Swansea 1,100,000 1,000,000 1,400,000
Llandudno 1,100,000 1,000,000 1,200,000
Newport 2,000,000 1,750,000 1,400,000
Wrexham 1,100,000 900,000 1,200,000
       
SCOTLAND      
Glasgow, Bearsden/Milngavie 2,000,000 2,500,000 4,000,000
Ayr 900,000 1,500,000 2,300,000
Dumfries 202,000 150,000 345,000
Dunfermline 1,200,000 850,000 1,100,000
Glasgow 1,000,000 2,000,000 4,500,000
Aberdeen 2,250,000 1,250,000 3,000,000
Inverness 570,000 420,000 775,000
Edinburgh 3,410,000 3,410,000 7,425,000
Motherwell 700,000 1,000,000 800,000
Dundee 600,000 300,000 800,000
       

* all bulk greenfield sites are now fully developed in this locality

** no evidence to indicate a separate market for this category of land

Cambridge/South Cambridge has always been the reporting location from the start of the report in 1983. Values in the city of Cambridge are in the region of £6,000,000 per ha.

Residential Building Land Index and Values from Autumn 1983 and Autumn 1984 for Scotland

Based on the regional averages for bulk land published in the twice yearly reports since Autumn 1983 and Autumn 1994 in Scotland. See Methodology for the and assumptions made when preparing the valuations. A feature of the residential land market is the 'lumpiness' of changes in value. Although the index is based on six monthly figures it is difficult to establish exactly when significant movements in value occurred and an average over a longer period may provide a more realistic assessment of the market.

England and Wales excluding London Inner and Outer London South East
Date £s per hectare Index % change £s per hectare Index % change £s per hectare Index % change
Aut 83 174,000 100.0   759,000 100.0   275,000 100.0  
Spr 84 194,000 111.5 11.5 834,500 109.9 9.9 327,000 118.9 18.9
Aut 84 220,000 126.4 13.4 890,000 117.3 6.7 391,000 142.2 19.6
Spr 85 246,000 141.4 11.8 1,076,000 141.8 20.9 447,000 162.5 14.3
Aut 85 267,000 153.4 8.5 1,294,500 170.6 20.3 504,000 183.3 12.8
Spr 86 301,000 173.0 12.7 1,728,500 227.7 33.5 585,000 212.7 16.1
Aut 86 343,000 197.1 14.0 2,144,500 282.5 24.1 687,000 249.8 17.4
Spr 87 399,000 229.3 16.3 2,893,500 381.2 34.9 812,000 295.3 18.2
Aut 87 468,000 269.0 17.3 3,438,500 453.0 18.8 932,000 338.9 14.8
Spr 88 624,000 358.6 33.3 3,011,000 396.7 -12.4 1,398,000 508.4 50.0
Aut 88 929,000 533.9 48.9 3,370,000 444.0 11.9 1,704,000 619.6 21.9
Spr 89 943,000 542.0 1.5 3,364,000 443.2 -0.2 1,780,000 647.3 4.5
Aut 89 837,000 481.0 -11.2 2,991,500 394.1 -11.1 1,306,000 474.9 -26.6
Spr 90 706,000 405.7 -15.7 2,559,000 337.2 -14.5 1,007,000 366.2 -22.9
Aut 90 621,000 356.9 -12.0 2,329,000 306.9 -9.0 902,000 328.0 -10.4
Spr 91 529,000 304.0 -14.8 2,089,000 275.2 -10.3 737,000 268.0 -18.3
Aut 91 504,000 289.7 -4.7 1,939,000 255.5 -7.2 704,000 256.0 -4.5
Spr 92 483,000 277.6 -4.2 1,669,000 219.9 -13.9 674,000 245.1 -4.3
Aut 92 460,000 264.4 -4.8 1,490,500 196.4 -10.7 615,000 223.6 -8.8
Spr 93 438,000 251.7 -4.8 1,337,000 176.2 -10.3 588,000 213.8 -4.4
Aut 93 450,000 258.6 2.7 1,455,000 191.7 8.8 603,000 219.3 2.6
Spr 94 495,000 284.5 10.0 1,505,000 198.3 3.4 706,000 256.7 17.1
Aut 94 540,000 310.3 9.1 1,625,000 214.1 8.0 761,000 276.7 7.8
Spr 95 560,000 321.8 3.7 1,685,000 222.0 3.7 799,000 290.5 5.0
Aut 95 589,000 338.5 5.2 1,712,000 225.6 1.6 798,000 290.2 -0.1
Spr 96 594,000 341.4 0.8 1,717,000 226.2 0.3 797,000 289.8 -0.1
Aut 96 611,000 351.1 2.9 1,827,000 240.7 6.4 817,000 297.1 2.5
Spr 97 663,000 381.0 8.5 1,925,000 253.6 5.4 950,000 345.5 16.3
Aut 97 721,000 414.4 8.7 2,071,500 272.9 7.6 1,140,000 414.5 20.0
Spr 98 790,000 454.0 9.6 2,143,500 282.4 3.5 1,220,000 443.6 7.0
Aut 98 830,000 477.0 5.1 2,205,000 290.5 2.9 1,340,000 487.3 9.8
Spr 99 860,000 494.3 3.6 2,360,000 310.9 7.0 1,370,000 498.2 2.2
Aut 99 950,000 546.0 10.5 2,528,500 333.1 7.1 1,660,000 603.6 21.2
Spr 2000 1,080,000 620.7 13.7 2,770,000 365.0 9.6 1,910,000 694.5 15.1
Aut 2000 1,150,000 660.9 6.5 3,345,000 440.7 20.8 1,980,000 720.0 3.7
Spr 2001 1,250,000 718.4 8.7 3,965,000 522.4 18.5 2,180,000 792.7 10.1
Aut 2001 1,310,000 752.9 4.8 4,223,500 556.5 6.5 2,280,000 829.1 4.6
England and Wales excluding London Inner and Outer London South East
Spr 2002 1,400,000 804.6 6.9 4,907,000 646.5 16.2 2,360,000 858.2 3.5
Aut 2002 1,580,000 908.0 12.9 5,493,000 723.7 11.9 2,490,000 905.5 5.5
Spr 2003 1,750,000 1005.7 10.8 6,000,000 790.5 9.2 2,670,000 970.9 7.2
Aut 2003 1,910,000 1097.7 9.1 6,143,000 809.4 2.4 2,760,000 1003.6 3.4
From Autumn 1988 the Inner and Outer London average value excludes Westminster, Kensingon and Chelsea and Camden

  North East North West and Merseyside Yorkshire and the Humber
  £s per hectare Index % change £s per hectare Index % change £s per hectare Index % change
Date                  
Aut 83 108,000 100.0   127,000 100.0   108,000 100.0  
Spr 84 108,000 100.0 0.0 130,000 102.4 2.4 114,000 105.6 5.6
Aut 84 138,000 127.8 27.8 134,000 105.5 3.1 126,000 116.7 10.5
Spr 85 149,000 138.0 8.0 135,000 106.3 0.7 138,000 127.8 9.5
Aut 85 157,000 145.4 5.4 143,000 112.6 5.9 142,000 131.5 2.9
Spr 86 170,000 157.4 8.3 147,000 115.7 2.8 150,000 138.9 5.6
Aut 86 188,000 174.1 10.6 174,000 137.0 18.4 156,000 144.4 4.0
Spr 87 195,000 180.6 3.7 186,000 146.5 6.9 181,000 167.6 16.0
Aut 87 203,000 188.0 4.1 211,000 166.1 13.4 189,000 175.0 4.4
Spr 88 224,000 207.4 10.3 269,000 211.8 27.5 235,000 217.6 24.3
Aut 88 237,000 219.4 5.8 354,000 278.7 31.6 431,000 399.1 83.4
Spr 89 358,000 331.5 51.1 550,000 433.1 55.4 577,000 534.3 33.9
Aut 89 437,000 404.6 22.1 623,000 490.6 13.3 607,000 562.0 5.2
Spr 90 466,000 431.5 6.6 620,000 488.2 -0.5 636,000 588.9 4.8
Aut 90 535,000 495.4 14.8 582,000 458.3 -6.1 587,000 543.5 -7.7
Spr 91 520,000 481.5 -2.8 516,000 406.3 -11.3 540,000 500.0 -8.0
Aut 91 486,000 450.0 -6.5 492,000 387.4 -4.7 537,000 497.2 -0.6
Spr 92 485,000 449.1 -0.2 477,000 375.6 -3.0 514,000 475.9 -4.3
Aut 92 509,000 471.3 4.9 471,000 370.9 -1.3 465,000 430.6 -9.5
Spr 93 492,000 455.6 -3.3 445,000 350.4 -5.5 421,000 389.8 -9.5
Aut 93 488,000 451.9 -0.8 451,000 355.1 1.3 433,000 400.9 2.9
Spr 94 504,000 466.7 3.3 472,000 371.7 4.7 441,000 408.3 1.8
Aut 94 514,000 475.9 2.0 481,000 378.7 1.9 538,000 498.1 22.0
Spr 95 524,000 485.2 1.9 473,000 372.4 -1.7 564,000 522.2 4.8
Aut 95 524,000 485.2 0.0 501,000 394.5 5.9 541,000 500.9 -4.1
Spr 96 524,000 485.2 0.0 487,000 383.5 -2.8 521,000 482.4 -3.7
Aut 96 524,000 485.2 0.0 502,000 395.3 3.1 538,000 498.1 3.3
Spr 97 520,000 481.5 -0.8 509,000 400.8 1.4 564,000 522.2 4.8
Aut 97 520,000 481.5 0.0 548,000 431.5 7.7 572,000 529.6 1.4
Spr 98 520,000 481.5 0.0 573,000 451.2 4.6 590,000 546.3 3.1
Aut 98 520,000 481.5 0.0 579,000 455.9 1.0 610,000 564.8 3.4
Spr 99 530,000 490.7 1.9 622,000 489.8 7.4 620,000 574.1 1.6
Aut 99 530,000 490.7 0.0 665,000 523.6 6.9 650,000 601.9 4.8
Spr 2000 550,000 509.3 3.8 716,000 563.8 7.7 690,000 638.9 6.2
Aut 2000 550,000 509.3 0.0 783,000 616.5 9.4 690,000 638.9 0.0
Spr 2001 570,000 527.8 3.6 833,000 655.9 6.4 750,000 694.4 8.7
Aut 2001 610,000 564.8 7.0 897,000 706.3 7.7 770,000 713.0 2.7
Spr 2002 670,000 620.4 9.8 944,000 743.3 5.2 810,000 750.0 5.2
Aut 2002 1,010,000 935.2 50.7 1,150,000 905.5 21.8 870,000 805.6 7.4
Spr 2003 1,150,000 1064.8 13.9 1,250,000 984.3 8.7 1,050,000 972.2 20.7
Aut 2003 1,230,000 1138.9 7.0 1,315,000 1035.4 5.2 1,270,000 1175.9 21.0

  East Midlands West Midlands Eastern
Date £s per hectare Index % change £s per hectare Index % change £s per hectare Index % change
Aut 83 120,000 100.0   162,000 100.0   294,000 100.0  
Spr 84 139,000 115.8 15.8 176,000 108.6 8.6 331,000 112.6 12.6
Aut 84 155,000 129.2 11.5 192,000 118.5 9.1 395,000 134.4 19.3
Spr 85 159,000 132.5 2.6 202,000 124.7 5.2 442,000 150.3 11.9
Aut 85 161,000 134.2 1.3 205,000 126.5 1.5 438,000 149.0 -0.9
Spr 86 174,000 145.0 8.1 217,000 134.0 5.9 609,000 207.1 39.0
Aut 86 203,000 169.2 16.7 225,000 138.9 3.7 640,000 217.7 5.1
Spr 87 233,000 194.2 14.8 245,000 151.2 8.9 746,000 253.7 16.6
Aut 87 274,000 228.3 17.6 313,000 193.2 27.8 938,000 319.0 25.7
Spr 88 391,000 325.8 42.7 388,000 239.5 24.0 1,268,000 431.3 35.2
Aut 88 699,000 582.5 78.8 820,000 506.2 111.3 1,750,000 595.2 38.0
Spr 89 772,000 643.3 10.4 922,000 569.1 12.4 1,687,000 573.8 -3.6
Aut 89 670,000 558.3 -13.2 891,000 550.0 -3.4 1,371,000 466.3 -18.7
Spr 90 593,000 494.2 -11.5 773,000 477.2 -13.2 1,066,000 362.6 -22.2
Aut 90 438,000 365.0 -26.1 722,000 445.7 -6.6 849,000 288.8 -20.4
Spr 91 392,000 326.7 -10.5 648,000 400.0 -10.2 645,000 219.4 -24.0
Aut 91 396,000 330.0 1.0 630,000 388.9 -2.8 594,000 202.0 -7.9
Spr 92 362,000 301.7 -8.6 592,000 365.4 -6.0 558,000 189.8 -6.1
Aut 92 361,000 300.8 -0.3 546,000 337.0 -7.8 562,000 191.2 0.7
Spr 93 341,000 284.2 -5.5 547,000 337.7 0.2 531,000 180.6 -5.5
Aut 93 373,000 310.8 9.4 545,000 336.4 -0.4 543,000 184.7 2.3
Spr 94 426,000 355.0 14.2 566,000 349.4 3.9 636,000 216.3 17.1
Aut 94 458,000 381.7 7.5 624,000 385.2 10.2 733,000 249.3 15.3
Spr 95 453,000 377.5 -1.1 627,000 387.0 0.5 790,000 268.7 7.8
Aut 95 459,000 382.5 1.3 619,000 382.1 -1.3 783,000 266.3 -0.9
Spr 96 461,000 384.2 0.4 618,000 381.5 -0.2 805,000 273.8 2.8
Aut 96 471,000 392.5 2.2 632,000 390.1 2.3 833,000 283.3 3.5
Spr 97 500,000 416.7 6.2 659,000 406.8 4.3 970,000 329.9 16.4
Aut 97 514,000 428.3 2.8 691,000 426.5 4.9 1,010,000 343.5 4.1
Spr 98 570,000 475.0 10.9 850,000 524.7 23.0 1,060,000 360.5 5.0
Aut 98 590,000 491.7 3.5 890,000 549.4 4.7 1,070,000 363.9 0.9
Spr 99 610,000 508.3 3.4 910,000 561.7 2.2 1,120,000 381.0 4.7
Aut 99 680,000 566.7 11.5 940,000 580.2 3.3 1,240,000 421.8 10.7
Spr 2000 720,000 600.0 5.9 1,020,000 629.6 8.5 1,510,000 513.6 21.8
Aut 2000 830,000 691.7 15.3 1,070,000 660.5 4.9 1,700,000 578.2 12.6
Spr 2001 950,000 791.7 14.5 1,220,000 753.1 14.0 1,850,000 629.3 8.8
Aut 2001 1,000,000 833.3 5.3 1,240,000 765.4 1.6 1,980,000 673.5 7.0
Spr 2002 1,090,000 908.3 9.0 1,310,000 808.6 5.6 2,280,000 775.5 15.2
Aut 2002 1,260,000 1050.0 15.6 1,440,000 888.9 9.9 2,660,000 904.8 16.7
Spr 2003 1,600,000 1333.3 27.0 1,580,000 975.3 9.7 3,020,000 1027.2 13.5
Aut 2003 1,770,000 1475.0 10.6 1,870,000 1154.3 18.4 3,180,000 1081.6 5.3

  South West Wales Scotland
Date £s per hectare Index % change £s per hectare Index % change £s per hectare Index % change
Aut 83 185,000 100.0   85,000 100.0        
Spr 84 206,000 111.4 11.4 85,000 100.0 0.0      
Aut 84 247,000 133.5 19.9 96,000 112.9 12.9 138,000 100  
Spr 85 269,000 145.4 8.9 100,000 117.6 4.2 129,000 93.5 -6.5
Aut 85 287,000 155.1 6.7 102,000 120.0 2.0 133,000 96.4 3.1
Spr 86 320,000 173.0 11.5 120,000 141.2 17.6 137,000 99.3 3.0
Aut 86 347,000 187.6 8.4 127,000 149.4 5.8 145,000 105.1 5.8
Spr 87 440,000 237.8 26.8 137,000 161.2 7.9 155,000 112.3 6.9
Aut 87 556,000 300.5 26.4 145,000 170.6 5.8 169,000 122.5 9.0
Spr 88 753,000 407.0 35.4 202,000 237.6 39.3 190,000 137.7 12.4
Aut 88 1,218,000 658.4 61.8 336,000 395.3 66.3 200,000 144.9 5.3
Spr 89 1,280,000 691.9 5.1 534,000 628.2 58.9 241,000 174.6 20.5
Aut 89 1,072,000 579.5 -16.3 617,000 725.9 15.5 342,000 247.8 41.9
Spr 90 825,000 445.9 -23.0 490,000 576.5 -20.6 469,000 339.9 37.1
Aut 90 729,000 394.1 -11.6 493,000 580.0 0.6 475,000 344.2 1.3
Spr 91 627,000 338.9 -14.0 415,000 488.2 -15.8 395,000 286.2 -16.8
Aut 91 581,000 314.1 -7.3 395,000 464.7 -4.8 391,000 283.3 -1.0
Spr 92 574,000 310.3 -1.2 371,000 436.5 -6.1 380,000 275.4 -2.8
Aut 92 540,000 291.9 -5.9 333,000 391.8 -10.2 373,000 270.3 -1.8
Spr 93 505,000 273.0 -6.5 309,000 363.5 -7.2 370,000 268.1 -0.8
Aut 93 517,000 279.5 2.4 326,000 383.5 5.5 370,000 268.1 0.0
Spr 94 561,000 303.2 8.5 341,000 401.2 4.6 370,000 268.1 0.0
Aut 94 587,000 317.3 4.6 367,000 431.8 7.6 415,000 300.7 12.2
Spr 95 610,000 329.7 3.9 381,000 448.2 3.8 415,000 300.7 0.0
Aut 95 601,000 324.9 -1.5 325,000 382.4 -14.7 435,000 315.2 4.8
Spr 96 608,000 328.6 1.2 364,000 428.2 12.0 438,000 317.4 0.7
Aut 96 638,000 344.9 4.9 374,000 440.0 2.7 458,000 331.9 4.6
Spr 97 685,000 370.3 7.4 411,000 483.5 9.9 513,000 371.7 12.0
Aut 97 728,000 393.5 6.3 461,000 542.4 12.2 514,000 372.5 0.2
Spr 98 870,000 470.3 19.5 490,000 576.5 6.3 550,000 398.6 7.0
Aut 98 900,000 486.5 3.4 520,000 611.8 6.1 560,000 405.8 1.8
Spr 99 960,000 518.9 6.7 540,000 635.3 3.8 580,000 420.3 3.6
Aut 99 1,060,000 573.0 10.4 560,000 658.8 3.7 630,000 456.5 8.6
Spr 2000 1,220,000 659.5 15.1 740,000 870.6 32.1 680,000 492.8 7.9
Aut 2000 1,330,000 718.9 9.0 740,000 870.6 0.0 730,000 529.0 7.4
Spr 2001 1,430,000 773.0 7.5 770,000 905.9 4.1 780,000 565.2 6.8
Aut 2001 1,470,000 794.6 2.8 810,000 952.9 5.2 790,000 572.5 1.3
Spr 2002 1,570,000 848.6 6.8 880,000 1035.3 8.6 810,000 587.0 2.5
Aut 2002 1,720,000 929.7 9.6 980,000 1152.9 11.4 920,000 666.7 13.6
Spr 2003 1,840,000 994.6 7.0 1,120,000 1,318 14.3 1,290,000 935 40.2
Aut 2003
2,030,000 1097.3 10.3 1,280,000 1505.9 14.3 1,340,000 971 3.9

Residential Land Forecast prepared by Technical Forecasts Limited

The residential land forecast

Average values for building land across UK are forecast to stabilise during the period March 2004-05, before a further period of significant growth to end 2006. However, this picture is highly varied in different regions, with bulk building land values in some regions rising considerably more than
others. Average year-on-year rates of increase across the country over the next 3 years are forecast as around 5%, although most growth is forecast for the second half of the period.

Uncertainties in the market at a national level include the level of supply of new development sites and the need for more affordable housing units both of which are drivers of land value. A feature of the residential land market is the ‘lumpiness’ of changes in value making forecasting somewhat more hazardous than for markets that respond in a more controlled way to changes in the market place. The forecasts need to be taken together with all other market information that is taken into account in any decision making process.

Background Information

The forecasts have been provided by Technical Forecasts Limited, an established company that is at the forefront in the development of forecasting techniques for the property sector. The techniques adopted for the original series of forecasts published in the Property Market Report have been undergoing continual development. These new systems are based on Bayesian principles and techniques for finding the best average forecasts, given current market forces.

Data Source

The forecasts are based on residential land values which have been collected by the Valuation Office since 1983. The data is based on opinion of value of land in typical locations throughout England assuming the site has a planning permission typical for the location, is ripe for development and has services to the edge of the site.

Methodology

The forecast uses Technical Forecasts' latest methods for forecasting property time series. Radial basis functions have been adopted (a type of neural network) together with information from economic, financial and other property series. The programs select the best economic, financial and property series that give the maximum amount of information to the Residential Land series. Bayesian statistical methods are then used to give the most probable future course of the Land series, given the past data.

The forecasts are made on the basis of relationships that exist in the past history of the data series along with associated economic and financial data. The methods used Construction Orders, Bank of England base rates, Government data series and also Halifax and Nationwide data series as well as other public and private sources of technical data; over 100 other sources of data were scanned and the relevant patterns extracted in order to inform the forecasting process.

Advanced methods of error reduction in the past time series have also been developed . The training of the models is controlled in such a way as to make sure that only the relevant data patterns are used in the creation of the models, eliminating, or at least minimising, any errors that may exist in the
data. In this manner only the most relevant past patterns i.e. those that determine the future, are taken into account.

Application

It is important to remember that future values do not necessarily depend on past performance and mathematical techniques cannot take into account sudden social and political changes or other shocks to the market. All forecasts should be treated with caution and should be used in conjunction with professional opinion but they do provide an analysis of relationships within existing data series and present a degree of objectivity over their subjective equivalents.

Technical information about this forecast and on additional property forecasts is available from:

Technical Forecasts Limited
Castle Court
12a High St
Arundel
West Sussex
BN18 9AB

Tel: 0854 2300 456
Email: mandy.bradley@tfl.biz
Web Site: www.tfl.biz

Indicative House Values
Pre 1919 Terraced House (modernised)
Terraced house with two-storey wing at rear; built about 1875; small forecourt and rear garden; rear access.
Modernisation includes rewiring, new roof and modern fittings in the bathroom/wc and kitchen.
Ground Floor – 2 living rooms, kitchen
1st Floor – 3 bedrooms, bathroom/wc.
Floor area 100 sq.m.
Inter war semi-detached house (modernised)
Semi-detached house, single fronted with 2 bay windows; built mid 1930s; front and rear gardens; single car garage.
Modernisation includes rewiring, full central heating and modern fittings in the kitchen and bathroom/wc.
Ground Floor – 2 living rooms, kitchen
1st Floor – 3 bedrooms, bathroom/wc.
Floor area 95 sq.m.
Post 1960 semi-detached house
Semi-detached house, single fronted; built early 1960s; full central heating; front and rear gardens; single car garage.
Ground Floor – living room/dining room, kitchen, wc
1st Floor – 3 bedrooms, bathroom/wc.
Floor area 95 sq.m.
Post 1960 detached house
Detached house on a good estate, built in 1960s; full central heating; good sized front and rear gardens; double garage.
Ground Floor – 2/3 living rooms, kitchen, wc
1st Floor – 4 bedrooms, bathroom/wc.
Floor area 160 sq.m.
Post 1960 flat in 3 (or more) storey block
First floor self contained flat 3 or more storey block; built early 1960s; lift; full central heating; car parking space in communal area.
1st Floor – Living room, 2 bedrooms, kitchen, bathroom/wc.
Floor area 50 sq.m.
Floor Areas
For all those types of houses described above, the floor area shown is the reduced covered area, which is the area of the ground and first floors based on external measurements. For the flat described above, the floor area shown is the effective floor area, which is the floor area of the living rooms, bedrooms, kitchen and bathroom/wc and excludes the hallway area.

These valuations are for the specific property types assuming an average location within the named town or city. The figures are not comparable with the series in the earlier reports which provided a range of values for the property types covering several locations within a town or city. There is no entry when the house type is not represented in the location.

EASTERN
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Cambridge (city) 250,000 200,000 180,000 350,000 195,000
Peterborough 87,000 120,000 112,000 215,000 78,000
Ipswich 96,000 133,000 138,000 247,000 90,000
Norwich 137,500 159,500 154,000 264,000 99,000
Bedford 135,000 160,000 150,000 240,000 100,000
Luton 120,000 170,000 165,000 255,000 95,000
Stevenage 160,000 195,000 180,000 325,000 100,000
St Albans 275,000 310,000 255,000 510,000 165,000
Chelmsford 170,000 240,000 200,000 360,000 100,000
Colchester 145,000 155,000 140,000 300,000 100,000
Great Yarmouth 71,500 132,000 110,000 192,500 66,000
Kings Lynn 77,000 104,500 99,000 220,000 66,000
 
EAST MIDLANDS
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Lincoln 69,000 102,000 102,000 205,000 75,000
Mansfield 60,000 102,500 95,000 190,000 52,500
Nottingham 75,500 125,000 122,500 250,000 65,700
Derby 65,000 130,000 125,000 235,000 60,000
Leicester 80,000 105,000 92,500 205,000 58,000
Northampton 115,000 137,500 137,500 220,000 102,000
Loughborough 90,000 113,000 110,000 235,000 60,000
Chesterfield 62,500 100,000 105,000 220,000 55,000
Buxton 112,500 150,000 147,500 280,000 100,000
Market Harborough 102,000 135,000 120,000 250,000 70,000
Grantham 73,000 112,500 115,000 200,000 75,000
Worksop 60,000 102,500 100,000 190,000 48,000
                       
NORTH EAST
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Newcastle (Heaton) 125,000 170,000 140,000 220,000 105,000
Morpeth 110,000 140,000 150,000 210,000 70,000
Sunderland 95,000 145,000 140,000 210,000 80,000
Middlesbrough 40,000 100,000 £95,000 175,000 65,000
Durham 160,000 155,000 115,000 310,000 62,000
Darlington 60,000 145,000 120,000 208,000 70,000
Berwick on Tweed 75,000 100,000 100,000 160,000 50,000
           
NORTH WEST
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Bolton 64,000 100,000 100,000 195,000 48,000
Manchester (Didsbury) 173,000 153,000 132,000 288,000 102,000
Rochdale (Spotland)) 60,000 98,000 98,000 220,000 55,000
Salford 42,000 98,000 115,000 184,000 75,000
Trafford 96,000 105,000 123,500 212,000 84,000
Stockport 95,000 140,000 140,000 220,000 95,000
Blackburn 55,000 95,000 84,000 155,000 49,000
Clitheroe 73,000 113,000 112,000 235,000 60,000
Lancaster 84,000 107,500 103,250 209,500  
Preston 62,500 115,000 98,500 180,000 63,500
Chester 95,000 140,000 120,000 220,000 80,000
Crewe 85,000 145,000 110,000 205,000 70 000
Macclesfield 130,000 170,000 150,000 295,000 98 000
Warrington 70,000 100,000 105,000 254,000 55,000
Wigan 62,000 94,000 100,000 190,000 45,000
Kendal 140,000 170,000 160,000 265,000  
Carlisle 84,000 112,000 110,000 234,000 66,000
Barrow 53,000 105,000 100,000 187,500  
Liverpool 90,000 145,000 125,000 225,000 85,000
Southport 69,500 112,000 105,000 215,000 88,000
 
SOUTH EAST
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Brighton & Hove 192,000 200,000 195,000 370,000 130,000
Eastbourne 140,000 175,000 160,000 295,000 110,000
Folkestone 125,000 175,000 137,500 280,000 92,500
Gillingham 105,000 180,000 175,000 300,000 95,000
Tunbridge Wells 195,000 240,000 230,000 410,000 150,000
Guildford 225,000 225,000 225,000 375,000 185,000
Redhill/Reigate 220,000 265,000 230,000 450,000 175,000
Worthing 150,000 185,000 180,000 250,000 120,000
Aylesbury 140,000 215,000 195,000 325,000 100,000
Oxford 210,000 205,000 200,000 400,000 190,000
Reading 132,000 180,000 170,000 290,000 130,000
Basingstoke 160,000 180,000 175,000 320,000 120,000
Portsmouth 110,000 172,000 161,000 283,000 104,000
Southampton 140,000 165,000 160,000 280,000 125,000
Newport (IOW) 90,000 128,000 130,000 200,000 85,000
           
SOUTH WEST
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Bournemouth/Poole 135,000 150,000 155,000 280,000 140,000
Weymouth 125,000 140,000 145,000 240,000 110,000
Exeter 123,000 182,000 160,000 270,000 90,000
Barnstaple 104,000 138,000 135,000 231,000 85,000
Plymouth 97,500 143,000 137,500 250,000 87,500
Penzance 115,000 126,000 132,000 220,000 100,000
St.Austell 110,000 140,000 135,000 220,000 85,000
Taunton 126,000 154,500 134,250 252,000 92,250
Bath 110,000 155,000 150,000 300,000 110,000
Bristol (Centre/St Pauls) 105,000 120,000 120,000 185,000 110,000
Gloucester 115,000 155,000 150,000 290,000 85,000
Swindon 115,000 165,000 140,000 260,000 90,000
                       
WALES
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Cardiff 150,000 185,000 160,000 295,000 95,000
Carmarthen 75,000 100,000 90,000 180,000 62,000
Merthyr Tydfil 55,000 80,000 85,000 180,000 37,500
Bridgend 75,000 115,000 85,000 210,000 60,000
Swansea 80,000 120,000 115,000 220,000 120,000
Colwyn 72,500 97,500 97,500 200,000 75,000
Newport 75,000 100,000 95,000 200,000 52,500
Wrexham 77,500 115,000 97,000 210,000 59,950
                       
WEST MIDLANDS
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Birmingham (south) 85,000 115,000 115,000 180,000 60,000
Coventry 71,000 114,000 135,000 294,000 92,500
Sandwell 70,000 85,000 82,000 145,000 57,000
Wolverhampton 60,000 90,000 93,000 220,000 55,000
Lichfield 150,000 160,000 140,000 270,000 100,000
Shrewsbury 110,000 150,000 110,000 200,000 55,000
Stoke-on-Trent 40,000 85,000 80,000 175,000 60,000
Leamington Spa 215,000 170,000 184,000 300,000 125,000
Worcester 129,000 150,000 140,000 260,000 93,000
Kidderminster 84,500 116,500 116,500 224,500 63,000
                       
YORKSHIRE AND THE HUMBER
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Harrogate 140,000 220,000 175,000 355,000 125,000
York 135,000 150,000 132,500 220,000 90,000
Bradford 75,000 95,000 90,000 195,000 60,000
Huddersfield 70,000 97,000 100,000 180,000 79,000
Leeds (Bramley) 97,500 81,000 80,000 175,000 66,000
Doncaster 49,000 90,000 89,000 195,000 66,000
Grimsby 40,000 85,000 85,000 170,000 55,000
Beverley 80,000 100,000 105,000 225,000 60,000
Hull 45,000 75,000 78,000 170,000 55,000
Bridlington 70,000 80,000 90,000 180,000 47,500
Sheffield 96,000 126,000 100,000 186,000 70,000
                       
INNER LONDON
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Tower Hamlets 330,000       175,000
Newham 180,000 185,000     120,000
Camden 410,000       240,000
Hackney 245,000 325,000     165,000
Lewisham 195,000 245,000 225,000 395,000 160,000
Rotherhithe 250,000 235,000 220,000 310,000 160,000
Hammersmith 420,000 355,000 365,000   260,000
Islington 340,000 355,000     200,000
City of London (Barbican)         320,000
Westminster(South) 970,000 870,000     415,000
                       
OUTER LONDON
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Romford 155,000 220,000 200,000 350,000 150,000
Redbridge 200,000 270,000 220,000 370,000 155,000
Enfield 250,000 325,000 325,000 580,000 195,000
Ealing 165,000 250,000 230,000 410,000 135,000
Harrow 180,000 250,000 260,000 410,000 150,000
Bromley 200,000 270,000 225,000 425,000 165,000
Merton (Wimbledon) 320,000 250,000 225,000 630,000 240,000
                       
SCOTLAND
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Inverness 100,000 105,000 90,000 162,000 70,000
Aberdeen 175,000 200,000 180,000 265,000 110,000
Fort William 67,000 95,000 85,000 105,000 45,000
Oban 95,000 95,000 92,500 160,000 75,000
Dundee 70,000 75,000 75,000 120,000 50,000
Dunfermline 95,000 110,000 100,000 220,000 70,000
Edinburgh 195,000 205,000 147,500 280,000 100,000
Glasgow (Hyndland) 160,000 210,000 180,000 425,000 160,000
Glasgow(Bearsden) 150,000 155,000 145,000 315,000 120,000
Hamilton 83,000 100,000 90,000 180,000 70,000
Ayr 85,000 120,000 85,000 195,000 85,000
Dumfries 64,000 85,000 72,000 135,000 36,000
Stranraer 57,000 79,000 65,000 120,000 35,000
Stornoway 52,000 62,500 57,500 88,500 36,000
           
NORTHERN IRELAND
House Type
Capital Value as at 1 October 2003
Pre 1919
Terraced House (modernised)
Inter war
Semi-det House (modernised)
Post 1960
Semi-det House
Post 1960
Detached House
Post 1960 Flat in 3 (or more)
Storey Block
Location £ £ £ £ £
Belfast 92,000 110,000 105,000 217,500 80,000
Lisburn 75,000 85,000 90,000 155,000 78,000
Craigavon 52,000 72,500 75,000 130,000 45,000
Londonderry 62,500 80,000 77,500 175,200  
Omagh 58,000 70,000 70,000 120,000  
Ballymena 55,000 65,000 70,000 125,000 55,000

Industrial and warehouse land values as at 1 October 2003 The table below shows the range of typical values reported by District Valuers together with the typical value for each region.These values should be regarded as illustrative rather than definitive.

Range of Values Reported
Region

From £s per ha To £s per ha

Typical £s per ha

North East 80,000 200,000 148,000
North West and Merseyside 110,000 800,000 346,000
Yorkshire and the Humber 140,000 640,000 442,000
East Midlands 250,000 700,000 455,000
West Midlands 250,000 950,000 506,000
Eastern 370,000 2,500,000 966,000
South East 225,000 3,000,000 1,335,000
South West 175,000 1,235,000 590,000
Wales 100,000 433,000 207,000
England & Wales ( excluding London) 80,000 3,000,000 609,000
London 650,000 3,600,000 1,793,000
Scotland 100,000 490,000 221,000

 

Range of Values Reported
Region From
£ s per ha
To
£ s per ha
Typical
£ s per ha
NORTH EAST
North Tyneside (Newcastle) 175,000 200,000 185,000
Northumberland (Cramlington) 80,000 175,000 125,000
Sunderland 110,000 200,000 150,000
Middlesbrough 80,000 170,000 130,000
Durham 125,000 175,000 150,000
  
NORTH WEST     
Bolton and Bury 250,000 450,000 400,000
Manchester 350,000 500,000 400,000
Rochdale/Oldham 250,000 400,000 300,000
Salford/Trafford 400,000 800,000 625,000
Stockport 275,000 600,000 400,000
Wigan 250,000 400,000 300,000
Blackburn/Burnley 192,000 286,000 250,000
Lancaster 173,000 296,000 225,000
Central Lancs (Preston) 320,000 370,000 345,000
Birkenhead ( new location) 200,000 250,000 220,000
Crewe & Nantwich 315,000 390,000 350,000
Macclesfield 275,000 495,000 330,000
Warrington 265,000 570,000 430,000
Carlisle/M6 Corridor 190,000 210,000 205,000
Kendal 500,000 600,000 550,000
       
MERSEYSIDE     
Liverpool 110,000 260,000 210,000
       
YORKSHIRE AND THE HUMBER     
Harrogate 350,000 550,000 475,000
York 350,000 475,000 425,000
Bradford 400,000 625,000 500,000
Huddersfield 325,000 475,000 425,000
South Leeds 400,000 625,000 500,000
Doncaster 150,000 450,000 380,000
Grimsby 160,000 370,000 295,000
Hull 250,000 640,000 540,000
Sheffield 140,000 450,000 380,000
Wakefield (new location) 400,000 625,000 500,000
               
EAST MIDLAND     
Lincoln 250,000 300,000 300,000
Mansfield 250,000 350,000 300,000
Nottingham 450,000 600,000 500,000
Derby 350,000 500,000 400,000
Leicester 370,000 680,000 615,000
Northampton 450,000 700,000 615,000
               
WEST MIDLAND     
Birmingham 350,000 950,000 700,000
Coventry 310,000 740,000 618,000
Sandwell 309,000 494,000 396,000
Wolverhampton 325,000 550,000 415,000
Tamworth 350,000 550,000 485,000
Telford 270,000 370,000 320,000
Stoke/Stafford 250,000 650,000 320,000
Leamington Spa 570,000 750,000 675,000
Redditch 500,000 820,000 700,000
Dudley 325,000 600,000 435,000
       
EASTERN     
Cambridge 400,000 950,000 680,000
Peterborough 430,000 650,000 555,000
Ipswich 420,000 675,000 475,000
Norwich 400,000 525,000 500,000
Stevenage 700,000 2,300,000 1,350,000
Luton 700,000 850,000 750,000
Hemel Hempstead 1,750,000 2,500,000 2,250,000
Basildon (new location) 1,200,000 1,976,000 1,482,000
Colchester 370,000 750,000 650,000
               
LONDON      
Stratford E15 740,000 1,235,000 990,000
Islington/Hackney 1,500,000 1,850,000 1,700,000
Greenwich 1,000,000 2,000,000 1,500,000
Southwark 1,250,000 2,500,000 1,800,000
North Hammersmith There is now only limited industrial development in this area and no discernible land market
Barking and Dagenham 850,000 1,500,000 1,250,000
Walthamstow 650,000 1,050,000 900,000
North/East Enfield and Haringey 950,000 1,125,000 1,100,000
Park Royal 3,100,000 3,600,000 3,300,000
Hayes 2,300,000 2,800,000 2,500,000
Croydon 1,500,000 2,500,000 2,000,000
Merton/Mitcham 850,000 2,750,000 1,500,000
               
SOUTH EAST     
Crawley 2,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000
Eastbourne 450,000 520,000 500,000
Canterbury 525,000 900,000 750,000
Medway Towns 680,000 800,000 740,000
Maidstone/Medway Gap 900,000 1,050,000 1,000,000
Guildford/Egham 1,600,000 2,400,000 2,225,000
       
South East (continued)
Region
From
£ s per ha
To
£ s per ha
Typical
£ s per ha
Sunbury (new location) 1,600,000 2,400,000 2,225,000
Milton Keynes 1,000,000 1,300,000 1,100,000
Oxford 850,000 1,150,000 950,000
Reading 1,850,000 2,100,000 2,000,000
Basingstoke 1,350,000 2,150,000 1,900,000
Portsmouth 850,000 1,450,000 1,100,000
Southampton 1,150,000 2,050,000 1,410,000
Newport(IOW) 225,000 350,000 275,000
                       
SOUTH WEST     
Poole/Bournemouth 850,000 1,235,000 990,000
Weymouth 350,000 600,000 500,000
Exeter 500,000 700,000 625,000
Barnstaple 250,000 350,000 270,000
Plymouth 236,000 383,000 310,000
Bodmin 175,000 220,000 200,000
Yeovil 375,000 650,000 530,000
Bristol 650,000 900,000 800,000
Gloucester 615,000 805,000 725,000
Swindon 900,000 1,100,000 950,000
               
WALES     
Cardiff 295,000 433,000 370,000
Carmarthen 135,000 185,000 160,000
Merthyr Tydfil 100,000 185,000 130,000
Taff Ely 125,000 330,000 185,000
Swansea 165,000 220,000 170,000
Colwyn Bay/Llandudno 100,000 160,000 130,000
Newport 300,000 420,000 340,000
Deeside 120,000 200,000 170,000
       
SCOTLAND     
Hillington 150,000 250,000 200,000
Irvine 110,000 110,000 110,000
Dumfries 100,000 125,000 110,000
Falkirk (new location) 150,000 200,000 175,000
Glasgow 150,000 300,000 200,000
Aberdeen 370,000 445,000 435,000
Inverness 280,000 490,000 375,000
Edinburgh 150,000 375,000 275,000
Motherwell/Hamilton 150,000 220,000 200,000
Dundee 120,000 150,000 125,000

Land for the development of factories and warehouses as at 1 October 2003 in some of the main industrial areas (excluding London)

Industrial land values from 1983 in England and Wales

 

 

 

Methodology and production of the Property Market Report

Introduction
This section of the Property Market Report explains how the Valuation Office Agency collects data and how this data is processed to provide the information contained within the report.

Sources of data
The Valuation Office receives details of all completed property transactions of property sold, or leased for seven years or more, or where an existing lease on land and buildings is assigned. The provision under which purchasers/transferees or their legal representatives are required to supply this information is Section 28 of the Finance Act 1931. This has been amended by further legislation but the 1931 Act remains the empowering statute. Within each local office these transactions have been recorded and analysed, originally in bound volumes, but more recently on computer. The recording, and more importantly the analysis of data provides the Valuation Office with a unique database covering more than 50 years of property transactions. The core data for the Property Market Report are these completed property transactions.

In the preparation of the Property Market Report, District Valuers also have regard to all other market intelligence available to them and which is normally taken into account when forming an opinion of value.

Report Format
The Property Market Report was designed to allow readers to follow trends in value of readily recognisable types of property in discrete locations across the country. Typical property types or "beacons" were selected for each market sector and these are fully described in the front of each section of the report. The value of each beacon type is revisited every six months, in April and October, and reviewed in the light of property transactions recorded, market intelligence and local information obtained and verified by District Valuers. The property types are reviewed on a regular basis to ensure they are representative of properties found across the whole of England, Scotland and Wales. Where design and property specifications have changed, the beacon types will be re-defined in order to be maintain their representation of the market.

Each report although standing alone is also part of a time series from 1983, when the reports were first published, with snap shot views of the market at six monthly intervals from then onwards. A common feature of all the tables provided is that they are of unweighted data covering a consistent and representative range of property types and not simply reporting on the property actually sold in a given period.

Set out in the following pages are details of the methodology adopted in providing information in each of the sectors.

Agricultural Sector
DVs are requested to express their opinion of the capital and tenanted value of various types of
agricultural land within their individual localities. The opinions expressed are for fully equipped farms typical to the locality, with the values for the dairy farm excluding the value of milk quota. From Spring 2002 a table for unequipped land assuming the typical farm is lotted for disposal is also included.

From Spring 2002 the description of the ‘typical farm’ for each farming category has been re visited to ensure they continue to represent typical agricultural holdings which over the last twenty years have taken on board economies of scale through expansion. The residential element of any farm enterprise is also an important factor in the overall price achieved for the land. To ensure consistency across all the reporting locations for the Spring 2002 report onwards the values reported for equipped farms are a reflection of the following type of agricultural holding:

Arable Farm - 300-500 acres with a house appropriate for the size of holding and modern buildings adequate for the business.

Dairy Farm - 150-250 acres with a house appropriate for the size of holding and modern buildings and accommodation for a commercial herd.

Mixed Farm - 200-500 mixed arable livestock with a house appropriate for the size of holding plus a mixture of modern and traditional buildings adequate for the business

Hill Farm - 1000 acres minimum with the majority over 1500 ft above sea level and comprising open mountain and moor land with a house appropriate to the holding and buildings adequate for the business

The average values for England and Wales are based on the opinions of value at 44 locations for arable land, 45 locations for dairy land, 55 locations for mixed land and 8 locations for hill land. The averages for Scotland are based on 7 locations. The published data is simple averages of all the reported locations within each region/country.

Where there is no entry the land type is not typical within the area.

Residential Building Land
The report covers three types of land, small sites for less than five houses, bulk land in excess of two hectares and land that has planning permission for flats. The land is assumed to be in a typical location for the area, have planning permission, services to the edge of the site and be ripe for development.

To that extent if the market for majority of residential land in the locality is made up of ‘brownfield sites’ that will be reflected in the valuations. Likewise if planning permissions in the location generally include an element of affordable housing that will also be reflected in the land values to the same extent as the market would do so.

The values should be regarded as illustrative rather than definitive and represent typical levels of value for sites with no abnormal site constraints and a residential planning permission of a type generally found in the area.

Regional Table
The averages for England and Wales are based on a total of 104 localities and the average for Scotland is based on 10 localities. The values reported for the regions are simple averages rounded to the nearest ten thousand pounds. The figures have not been weighted for population size in each local authority area or for the size of the sites.

Residential Building Land Index and Values from 1983
This table and index is constructed from the regional averages for bulk land published in the twice yearly reports since Autumn 1983. The localities within each region have remained the same over the period and typical values within these areas form the basis of the index. The localities adopted are as listed in the tables of individual values. The figures are unweighted and the index provides an indication of the changes in typical values at established centres on a regional basis. The series is based on the Government Office regions and historic data has been converted to comply with these new groupings. The Inner and Outer London index from October 1988 excludes the central area i.e. Westminster, Kensington and Chelsea and Camden because of the very specific nature of the market resulting in high land values in these local locations, which has a distorting effect on the regional average.

Residential Building Land Graph
This graph shows the six monthly change in the average value of residential building land in England and Wales based on 91 locations and London based on 13 locations.

Housing Sector
The report covers England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland and provides opinions of vacant possession values for recognisable house types which are described in detail at the front of the housing section in the report.

The opinions expressed are values of the property types within an average location within the named town or city. Where there is no entry the property is not a recognisable house type within the location.

The report covers 124 locations in England and Wales, 14 in Scotland and 6 in Northern Ireland.

Industrial Land
DVs report the typical value and range of value of land with planning permission for industrial use within 103 localities covering England and Wales and 10 in Scotland, based on transactional evidence. It is assumed that all services are available at the edge of the site and the site is ripe for development. The localities are as shown in the individual table of values.

Trends in Industrial Land Values from 1983
This series of graphs presents by Government Office region the maximum, minimum and mid point value of industrial land from Autumn 1983. The mid point is replaced by the typical value from Spring 1998. The figures have not been weighted for population size or size of site and provide an indication of the movement in the range of values across the regions. The series is based on Government Office regions and historic data has been converted to this format.

Typical values published for each Government Office region are the simple averages of all the typical values reported from the individual localities within that region. These are unweighted.

View the England and Wales Counties and Government Regions (39k - PDF)